Hurricane Michael has now become a Category 3 Hurricane and is rapidly . . . RAPIDLY . . . . increasing in strength toward Category 4.
If you live or work on the Florida Panhandle, you should EVACUATE. Few structures can withstand this type of ferocious storm; the winds tear-apart roofs and walls, little pieces at a time, until they suffer complete failure. One a roof or wall breaches, wind causes the house to blow apart.
Storm Surge coming ashore is expected to be a minimum of NINE FEET above dry ground within several miles of the coastline.
One top of that storm surge will be crashing waves. Between the surge and the waves, houses will be literally knocked off their foundations into the violent, churning water. Anyone inside will be killed and the ocean won't even stop to think about it as it takes them under.
Those told to evacuate but who refuse should use black magic marker to write their social security number on their forearms to make it easier to identify their dead body when it is found.
According to the Okaloosa County Sheriff's Department, as of 8:21 this morning, water has begun coming ashore in Shalimar, Florida, near Destin and Fort Walton Beach! Worse, this is taking place despite this area being protected by offshore barrier islands!
National Hurricane Center forecasters are now warning that "wave heights as the storm comes ashore will reach or exceed forty feet!"
As of 0400 PM CDT Tue Oct 09 (Advisory # 13)
Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale: Category 3
Maximum Sustained Winds: 105 knots; 120 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 957 mb
Located at: 26.0N 86.4W
Movement: north at 10 knots; 12 mph
Seas 59-75’ up to 20NM offshore. Yep. You ready that right. pic.twitter.com/fUSIudRLVk— Chris Smith (@smithwjhg) October 9, 2018
Here is the official projection map from the National Hurricane Center showing FORTY FOOT wave around the eyewall as Michael comes ashore:
Warnings of STORM SURGE have already gone up, with the MINIMUM showing NINE FEET of water above normal high tide covering land:
Here is a satellite view of Hurricane Michael as of about 1:00 PM EDT Tuesday afternoon:
The official National Hurricane Center interim report as of 2:00 PM eastern daylight time Tuesday:
000 WTNT34 KNHC 091741 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 100 PM CDT Tue Oct 09 2018 ...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHAEL MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 86.4W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Anclote River Florida to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay * Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida border to Suwannee River Florida A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida border to the Mississippi/Alabama border * Suwanee River Florida to Chassahowitzka Florida A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Chassahowitzka to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay * Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River * Fernandina Beach Florida to South Santee River South Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere across the southeastern United States should monitor the progress of Michael. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 86.4 West. Michael is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight. The center of Michael is then expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday, and move off the Mid-Atlantic coast away from the United States by Friday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Michael is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall in Florida. Weakening is expected after landfall as Michael moves through the southeastern United States. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). NOAA buoy 42003 recently reported 1-minute mean winds of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust of 59 mph (94 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass FL to Cedar Key FL...8-12 ft Cedar Key FL to Crystal River FL...6-8 ft Okaloosa/Walton County Line FL to Indian Pass FL...6-9 ft Crystal River FL to Aripeka FL...4-6 ft Aripeka FL to Anna Maria Island FL including Tampa Bay...2-4 ft Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line FL...2-4 ft WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area along the U.S. Gulf Coast by Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions expected by tonight or early Wednesday. Hurricane conditions will also spread well inland across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area by tonight or early Wednesday, and are possible within the tropical storm watch area by that time. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the southeast U.S. coast Wednesday night and Thursday. RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Friday... Western Cuba...4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, southeast Alabama, and southern Georgia...4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall could lead to life threatening flash floods. Eastern Georgia, the Carolinas, and southern Virginia...3 to 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods. Florida Peninsula, eastern Mid Atlantic, southern New England coast...1-3 inches. SURF: Swells generated by Michael are affecting the coasts of the eastern and northern Gulf of Mexico, and will spread to portions of the northwestern and western Gulf of Mexico coast during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: The threat for tornadoes will increase late tonight into Wednesday over parts of the Florida Panhandle, the northern Florida Peninsula, and southern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
The storm is already pushing so much water in the entire Gulf of Mexico, that Tidal Surge has already begun to flood Sanibel, FL. Video from Tuesday afternoon, below: