CATEGORY 5! 161 MPH

CATEGORY 5!   161 MPH
4 Comments

As of 10:40 AM EDT Saturday, August 31, Hurricane Dorian has strengthened to a Category 5 Hurricane, the highest rating, with maximum sustained winds of 158 MPH.  Trouble is, the computer models have NO IDEA which way this storm is going. They disagree if there will be landfall in Florida, Georgia, or South Carolina.   The models now seem utterly USELESS.  The literal Spaghetti model (above) is probably more accurate . . .

Take a look at the diverging computer models:

And another . . .

 But this other model severely disagrees:

And this one disagrees with all the rest . . . 

and another . . . 

Wherever it ends up going, this storm is a MONSTER:

As of 10:58 AM EDT, the storm is now beginning to move over extremely warm surface waters.  It will pick up strength from that heat.

But the storm is between two High Pressure Systems, one to its northeast, the other to its south.  Those high pressure systems are forcing the hurricane west.

The High pressure system to the north is moving slowly eastward, which may open a lower pressure path northward IF it moves fast enough and IF the hurricane moves west enough.   It's a friggin guessing game right now and at-stake are the lives and property of MILLIONS of people in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and elsewhere.

Weak steering currents & stalling storms should never be trusted. 

With 72 hours before Dorian turns north, even a 1 mph error in the storm's speed until then could result in a 72 mile error in how far west Dorian gets.

Stay vigilant. More changes could occur. It's a tough one.

As of now, the only thing certain is the storm is terrifyingly powerful and wherever it goes, someone is going to have a very big problem.  Those in the southeastern US MUST have hurricane preparations.

This storm could go anywhere and if it comes at YOU, you'd better be ready.

And you may want to think twice about paying much attention to the National Hurricane Center projections.  The 1-Minute video below shows how wide-ranging and INaccurate their computer models for this storm have actually been!

 Sure, we'd all LIKE to be able to rely on them.  But truth is, we only know two things: There's a major hurricane coming at us, AND;

The people we pay to track these things seem to have very little idea where it's going. 

For Instance The last few ECMWF ensemble cycles continue slowing down Dorian's track, w/ an increasing # of members showing a SW motion in the Bahamas.

A direct Florida landfall is still very possible.

We're on our own.  Prepare.

 

UPDATE 1:29 PM EDT -- 

South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster declares State of Emergency to prepare for potential impact from Hurricane

 

UPDATE 1:54 EDT --

Hurricane Hunter aircraft now confirm surface wind speeds of 161 MPH sustained.  Category 5

 

UPDATE 2:10 PM EDT --

Mayor Francis Suarez signs emergency declaration for City of Miami for Hurricane

 

UPDATE 4:50 PM EDT --

Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet. 

 

UPDATE 5:00 PM EDT --

National Hurricane Center shows Florida quasi-hit (again) in latest warning cone

As much as I enjoy being a provider of such cutting-edge news, I regret to tell you that the finances of this web site and radio show are NOT sufficient to pay its bills for August and continue in September.  Those of you who enjoy the content of this site from time to time are asked to PLEASE help out with a few bucks to the bills for this site and radio show (which total about $3100 a month) can be paid, and the endeavor can continue.

Donations can be made via the yellow DONATE button below:

 



Those of you who cannot or will not use online financial transactions can mail cash, check or Money order payable to:
Harold Turner
1906 Paterson Plank Road  - Apt. 1A
North Bergen, NJ   07047-1902
USA

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  • This commment is unpublished.
    gary boyd · 17 days ago
    You must be saved and born again to escape all the trials and tribulations of this world to come.
    Christian who are born again of God have assurance of salvation. The problem is that not everyone who calls himself a Christian is born again, like scripture says, not everyone who says Lord, Lord will be in the kingdom.
    Love for Our Savior
    Paul revealed that “the love of God” has been poured into the heart of a person who is justified through faith (Romans 5:5). It applies to all born again believers that “all things work together for good” (Romans 8:28). Why all born again Christians? Because all born again Christians love God (Romans 5:5; 1 John 5:3). This is the characteristic of a saved person. And if “all things work together for good,” then condemnation is excluded (to perish is not ‘good’).
    Ten Commandments
    “For this is the love of God, that we keep his commandments: and his commandments are not grievous” (1 John 5:3). The Lord Jesus himself said, “He that hath my commandments, and keeps them, it is he that loves me: and he that loves me shall be loved of my Father, and I will love him, and will manifest (make known) myself to him” (John 14:21). Whoever loves Jesus Christ keeps his commandments and does the will of the Father who is in heaven. “Not everyone who says Lord, Lord, shall enter into the kingdom of heaven; but he that doeth the will of my Father who is in heaven” (Matthew 7:21). These words of God apply to people who say to Christ “Lord, Lord!”, but do not want to follow him. These are the so called carnal (a euphemism for sexual conduct) Christians who lust after others wives.
    Confess This
    Romans 10:9 explains for salvation, it is necessary to believe in our hearts and confess this, “If thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thy heart that God had raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved.” The born again Christian does not use freedom as a cloak under which to sin, but wants to live as a servant of God. He can do this cause the love of God has poured out in his heart, soul and mind.
    Love for the Saved
    If love is poured out into your heart it means also that you should love your neighbor as you love yourself. Christ himself said in a farewell speech, “a new commandment I give unto you, That you should love one another as I have loved you, that you also love one another. By this all men shall know that you are my disciplines, if you have love one for another” (John 13: 34-35).
    Peter said that above all Christians should have a fervent (a passionate intensity) love on for another (1 Peter 4:8). Paul also empathized the importance of love by saying the first fruit of the spirit is love (Galatians 5:22). All the other fruits listed come from this love that God has poured out in our hearts; they are joy, peace, longsuffering, gentleness, goodness, faith, meekness and temperance (moderation or self-restraint, especially in eating and drinking).
    The Greatest Characteristic of a Saved Person
    The greatest characteristic of a saved person is not his perfect theology or knowledge of the Bible (the devil also has this, Luke 4:1-13), not his general confession (the demons also have this; Matthew 8:29, James 2:19), but the love for his neighbor, above all his fellow Christians (John 13: 34-35).
    Love of the Savior
    As born again Christians members of the true church of God, in whose hearts the love of God has been poured out, we may have the assurance that “neither death, nor life, nor angels, or principalities (supreme power of a territorial prince of darkness), nor powers, nor things present, nor things to come, nor height, nor depth, nor any other creature, shall be able to separate us from the love of God, which is in Christ Jesus our Lord” (Romans 8:38-39).
    If God be For Us?
    “God is for us; Jesus Christ is at the right hand of God and makes intercession for us (he is our lawyer)” (Hebrews 7:25). According to Romans the Holy Spirit also intercedes for us “with groaning that cannot be uttered.” The triune of God is for us. The Father did not spare his own son in his boundless love for us. Who can condemn us then? The answer to Paul’s rhetorical question is: nobody! Through Jesus Christ the believer now stands spotless and holy before God in love. He or she is now his son or daughter (Ephesians 1:4-5). A lost sinner has become a chosen child.
    There you have it my friend; once you are saved and born again you are then a chosen child of God and cannot lose your salvation!
  • This commment is unpublished.
    His self · 17 days ago
    Jim has a different take........

    http://82.221.129.208/pages/.yc2.html
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Daniel Thompson · 18 days ago
    I shouldn't have laughed, but the spaghetti model in the first pic was pretty funny. Total serious issue, but the 'model' was good. Hal, give us another finance update when you can. I helped out earlier, but can pitch in again this eve if you are still short. Thanks!
  • This commment is unpublished.
    Mark Brandon · 18 days ago
    God's judgments are only just beginning and no one anywhere on this planet is going to escape them. Those who escape death in the coming tsunamis, earthquakes, famines, plagues and wars will still have to have to have a close relationship with Jesus in order to be strong enough to resist taking the 'mark of the beast'. Please turn to Jesus today and start repenting of all of your past sins. The churches are deceiving people about how easy it is to be saved. Read this prophecy from Jesus and learn the truth about being saved.... http://hearthelordjesus.com/how-to-be-saved/
    • This commment is unpublished.
      Grim · 18 days ago
      Exactly correct.
    • This commment is unpublished.
      Daniel Thompson · 18 days ago
      Agreed.