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The vaunted S-400 air-defense missile system has made its appearance on the streets of Moscow, Russia, indicating Russian belief they will need air defenses very soon. Meanwhile in Belarus, President Lukashenko addressed troops and mentioned "war" 36 times, saying Lithuania must be no more.

We begin with a final communique sent by Russia to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) in which Russia asks simply "Do you intend to fulfill key security obligations?"   Clearly, the mere posing of the question presumes the OSCE has NOT fulfilled them, and behind the question, one ought to be able to clearly see, Russia is deploying its military in ways not seen since World War 2.

In line with the deployment reality, a new battalion of S-400 ‘Triumf’ surface-to-air missile systems went on combat duty in the air defense regiment stationed in the town of Dmitrov near Moscow, sources in Russia’s Defense Ministry report.

The new S-400 ‘Triumf’ surface-to-air missile systems arrived at their permanent deployment site in the Moscow Region in late December after they successfully accomplished initial missile firings at the Kapustin Yar proving range in the Astrakhan Region.

Currently, five surface-to-air missile regiments armed with S-400 ‘Triumf’ systems are providing air defense for Moscow and Russia’s Central Industrial Region as part of the Aerospace Force’s air defense formations.

Russia’s S-400 ‘Triumf’ (NATO reporting name: SA-21 Growler) is the latest long-and medium-range surface-to-air missile system that went into service in 2007. It is designed to destroy strategic and tactical aircraft, cruise and ballistic missiles and hypersonic weapons and can also be used against ground installations. The S-400 can engage targets at a distance of up to 400 km and at an altitude of up to 30 km under intensive enemy fire and jamming.

BELARUS BASES BEING EMPTIED

Meanwhile in neighboring Belarus, the real action seems to be taking place.   Belarus is all but EMPTYING vast numbers of military bases shown on the map image below:

The equipment and men at these bases would only be deployed all at once, if there was a very real "threat of war."   The fact they're being emptied now, indicates that threat of actual war is now real.

Sources in Belarus suggest 60% of daily railroad traffic in cities like Gomel and Mazyr is now composed of Russian military echelons. Areas immediately adjacent to railyards are full of offloaded military equipment, troops, and logistical supplies.

Military Hardware FROM RUSSIA also enters Belarus via road along the E30, P43/A-130, and M10/A-240.

The photo below, from yesterday, Belarusian soldiers listening to Lukashenko's address in which President Lukashenko talked about bringing Ukraine back into the fold of Slavism and terminating Lithuanian statehood. He used the word "war" 36 times.

The social media post below contains video of Lukashenko actually SAYING Lithuania statehood should be ended!

A round of applause after Lukashenko promised to put an end to Lithuanian statehood pic.twitter.com/b9vKndr4yQ

— Tadeusz Giczan (@TadeuszGiczan) January 29, 2022

WARNINGS ISSUED TO FOREIGN NATIONALS: LEAVE UKRAINE BY FEB. 5

The International Centre for Strategic Intelligence has issued formal warnings to ALL FOREIGN NATIONALS:

"We remain at Code Red at this time. Due to developments since our last travel advisory, we are now advising ALL foreign nationals in Ukraine to take steps to leave the country no later than Saturday 5th February 2022 as the risk to life is now being assessed HIGH+"