Italy: 43.65% Case Fatality Rate for Coronavirus!!!

Italy: 43.65% Case Fatality Rate for Coronavirus!!!
12 Comments

There are two ways to look at "mortality" of the coronavirus outbreak:

The first way, is the overall mortality rate. This is the preferred way of the Mass Media, since you get an overall lower number. 

To get this number, you divide deaths with ALL the cases, and multiply by 100 to get the %.

At the moment for Italy it’s:
1809 / 24747 x 100 = 7.3% Overall mortality rate

The second way, is the case fatality rate (CFR).

In this case, you only look at the resolved/closed cases.

Since a case will only have two outcomes, you either recover or die, the mortality rate is much higher. It’s a truer representation of the mortality, but it takes a long time before you get the exact number. Especially at the beginning the number tends to be much higher, than what you end up with at the end.

To get it, you divide deaths with all the resolved cases (which is deaths + recovered):
1809 / (2335 + 1809) x 100 = 43.65% CFR

The Mortality rate for "the flu" is about 0.1%.   Whether you view Coronavirus via EITHER method above, the numbers don't lie.  Coronavirus is dozens of times more deadly than the flu.

 

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  • This commment is unpublished.
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    Brad Bolz · 2 months ago
    Missouri has tested 266 people and found 13 infections. They only test people whom are symptomatic. That's 1 in 20 people infected.... Who wants to go shopping now?
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    Brad Bolz · 2 months ago
    The world case fatality rate just went to 8.8%. I calculated using total infections from 2 weeks ago. Does anyone have data about time to death from initial infection? See my Facebook post for complete data?
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    Patricia Davis · 2 months ago
    The numbers for Italy have changed. Now it's like this:

    2,503 / 31,505 = 7.945%
    2,503 / (2,503 + 2,941) = 45.98%
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    Patricia Davis · 2 months ago
    Looks like an effective drug treatment is available now:
    https://youtu.be/ah-LwndWYxA?t=64

    Of course there's a long list of side effects, many of which are serious!
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      Ted Dunham · 2 months ago
      What's this long list? It's very safe and has been around for almost forever. The only people that might have are a problem are people of the Mediterranean ethnicity and then it's only for 1% of those with G6PD deficiency.
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        Patricia Davis · 2 months ago
        Well I closed all those pages hours ago, but if you search for 'hydroxychloroquine side effects' you will get loads of results, and then you can read what I saw.
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    Robert Cyrklis · 2 months ago
    Amazing, over at Infowars, they are doing a poll. Most people believe this virus is all over blown! As in the days of Noah?
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      Mike Fisch · 2 months ago
      Most people have walked blithely into the pandemic trap - unaware, unknowing and completely unprepared for what is happening. When the lid slams shut, they will experience panic and horror and start to turn on each other - exactly what the elites want.

      The pandemic is real, but the way it played out was scripted. Even the virus itself was engineered.
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      Mike Fisch · 2 months ago
      This man is deceived about the coronavirus.
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    White Mountain · 2 months ago
    Watch the Diamond Princess. Since underdiagnosis (Italy, US, Iran) raises the mortality rate and case fatality rate and early diagnosis (South Korea) lowers it, you need a controlled sample where you have diagnosed everyone who has the virus. That happened with the Diamond Princess where everyone was tested and you had 712 confirmed cases. Right now there are 7 deaths and 525 recovered. But given this happened over a month ago, the people who have not recovered are probably going to have more serious cases that might need ICU care and result in more deaths. When you have all these cases resolved one way or the other, then you will have a good number. Right now that looks between 1-2 %, but we will not know until complete.
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    Tyrus Bahney · 2 months ago
    richisalsohere-
    So I tried to make an appointment for my clean test, and they CANT right now. There is a shortage on test and they are using them on people who either had contact with a confirmed case or have symptoms. This is why Italy’s recovered number is stagnant but the death toll goes up
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    Tyrus Bahney · 2 months ago
    I'm following an American stuck in Italy with his Italian wife and family.. on day 26 since their symptoms. Been reporting family's symptoms day by day. It was rough for him and his family. if 100 was the most severe, he said he was at 79 as a early 40's man. He was inches from deeming he needed hospital care, and is experiencing persistent lung damage. He says that the tests have run out there, and that the reason for lingering unresolved cases is due to their saving the tests for emerging severe cases. So deaths are being documented, but not recoveries. I know this 49% will go down as the unresolved cases become known. My guess is around 10% fatality rate for SARS-19, just like SARS-03.
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    Will Mcclanahan · 2 months ago
    One thing i was looking at myself is the number of deaths divided by the cases announced a week ago. Since it takes approx 7 days to die give or take a few days then those people who died today were sick 7 days ago. The number of cases today today will have a much greater amount of deaths in a week if their was no new covid 19 cases within the next week.
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      Brad Bolz · 2 months ago
      Is 7 days a guess, or do you have data?
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    Brian Ulrich · 2 months ago
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR1oAzCsyWcWf7zUebMjCYLSd0q6B_vO6ANXWZFDQgo9d50-Yc6O9LJex6k

    this is the website tracking out break numbers

    lets not freak out about the 43% it’s an expanding number and it’s not wise to calculate an exact mortality rate until this bug has peaked! Having said that I’m prepping and have been for some time