The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors meeting in Vienna is expected to bring a formal censure of Iran for non-compliance. Following the announcement, President Trump is anticipated to declare an end to U.S.-Iran negotiations—potentially paving the way for Israeli military action.
Trump gave Iran 60 days from first round of US-Iran nuclear talks. The first talks were on April 12, 2025. Today is June 12, 2025. The 60 days are up. It appears there is no agreement.
Iranian military and government officials have already met to discuss their response to a potential Israeli strike, according to a senior Iranian official. The official said that Tehran had devised a response plan that would involve an immediate counterstrike on Israel with hundreds of ballistic missiles.
Sources familiar with U.S. assessments and intelligence said that there was some evidence that Iranian-backed paramilitary groups in Iraq, who were recently provided ballistic missiles and additional precision-munitions by Iran, as well as other militia groups in the region, were preparing to attack U.S. bases and interests in the Middle East, according to Al Arabiya news service.
Meanwhile, a U.S. Air Force RC-135W Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft has been tracked monitoring western Iranian airspace, likely collecting signals intelligence on Iran’s air defense systems and radar activity in the region.
One Iranian official said 'Israel is bluffing on behalf of the United States. They want an agreement and they want us to fold on our demands in the (nuclear) negotiations, but we won't.'
UPDATE 6:37 AM EDT --
IAEA Board of Governors passes resolution declaring Iran in non-compliance with its nuclear safeguards obligations, the first such censure in nearly 20 years.
UPDATE 6:44 AM EDT --
US STATE DEPT: U.S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES AND THEIR FAMILY MEMBERS ARE RESTRICTED FROM TRAVEL OUTSIDE GREATER TEL AVIV, JERUSALEM, BE’ER SHEVA AREAS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
I spoke with a State Department-related source this morning who told me "Israel is going to attack Iran, they know Iran is going to launch ballistic missiles as retaliation, they want all US Gov't people accounted for in known locations before it all starts."